{"id":30876,"date":"2026-10-16T07:44:44","date_gmt":"2026-10-16T11:44:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/leger360.com\/?p=30876"},"modified":"2026-10-16T07:47:02","modified_gmt":"2026-10-16T11:47:02","slug":"politique-federale-intentions-vote-carney-octobre-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leger360.com\/fr\/politique-federale-intentions-vote-carney-octobre-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Politique f\u00e9d\u00e9rale : les lib\u00e9raux en avance de 15 points"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[et_pb_section fb_built=\u00a0\u00bb1&Prime; _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.7&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_row _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.7&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_column type=\u00a0\u00bb4_4&Prime; _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.7&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.9&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime; global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime;]<\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\"><span>Les lib\u00e9raux de Mark Carney conservent leur avance dans les intentions de vote f\u00e9d\u00e9rales, tandis que la satisfaction \u00e0 l&rsquo;\u00e9gard du gouvernement et le taux d&rsquo;approbation du premier ministre demeurent stables. Toutefois, les Canadiens portent un regard beaucoup plus nuanc\u00e9 sur les progr\u00e8s r\u00e9alis\u00e9s par le gouvernement dans diff\u00e9rents dossiers.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Selon notre plus r\u00e9cent sondage f\u00e9d\u00e9ral, r\u00e9alis\u00e9 du 9 au 12 octobre 2026, les Canadiens sont de plus en plus nombreux \u00e0 percevoir une am\u00e9lioration du sentiment d&rsquo;unit\u00e9 nationale et \u00e9valuent plus favorablement la gestion des relations commerciales avec les \u00c9tats-Unis. Le bilan du gouvernement en mati\u00e8re d&rsquo;abordabilit\u00e9 suscite toutefois davantage de r\u00e9serves.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_image src=\u00a0\u00bbhttps:\/\/leger360.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Leger_Fed_Poll_Leger_2026_06.jpg\u00a0\u00bb alt=\u00a0\u00bbSondage F\u00e9deral June 2026&Prime; title_text=\u00a0\u00bbLeger_Fed_Poll_Leger_2026_06&Prime; _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.7&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb45px||||false|false\u00a0\u00bb border_radii=\u00a0\u00bbon|30px|30px|30px|30px\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_heading title=\u00a0\u00bbFaits saillants\u00a0\u00bb _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.7&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb title_level=\u00a0\u00bbh2&Prime; custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb45px||||false|false\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][\/et_pb_heading][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.9&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime; global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime;]<\/p>\n<ul data-spread=\"false\" data-pm-slice=\"3 3 []\">\n<li>\n<p>Les lib\u00e9raux devancent les conservateurs de 15 points, r\u00e9coltant 48 % des intentions de vote chez les \u00e9lecteurs d\u00e9cid\u00e9s, contre 33 % pour les conservateurs. Le NPD obtient 8 %, une hausse de deux points depuis septembre.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>57 % des Canadiens sont satisfaits du gouvernement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral, tandis que 58 % approuvent le travail du premier ministre Mark Carney. Ces deux r\u00e9sultats sont inchang\u00e9s depuis septembre.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>56 % des Canadiens estiment que le sentiment d&rsquo;unit\u00e9 nationale s&rsquo;est am\u00e9lior\u00e9 depuis l&rsquo;arriv\u00e9e au pouvoir de Mark Carney, une hausse de neuf points depuis novembre 2025.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>La diversification des \u00e9changes commerciaux obtient la meilleure note moyenne (6,5\/10), tandis que l&rsquo;abordabilit\u00e9 du logement (5,0\/10) et le co\u00fbt de la vie (4,9\/10) r\u00e9coltent les notes les plus faibles.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_button button_url=\u00a0\u00bbhttps:\/\/documents.leger360.com\/hubfs\/%C3%89tudes%20M%C3%A9diatiques\/%C3%89tudes%20M%C3%A9diatiques%20-%202026\/10.%20October%202026\/Fed%20Poll\/Fed_Pol_october_2026_FR.pdf\u00a0\u00bb url_new_window=\u00a0\u00bbon\u00a0\u00bb button_text=\u00a0\u00bbT\u00e9l\u00e9chargez le rapport\u00a0\u00bb _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.9&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime; global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime;][\/et_pb_button][et_pb_heading title=\u00a0\u00bbQue r\u00e9v\u00e8lent les diff\u00e9rences r\u00e9gionales dans les intentions de vote f\u00e9d\u00e9rales?\u00a0\u00bb _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.9&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb title_level=\u00a0\u00bbh2&Prime; custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb45px||||false|false\u00a0\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime; global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime;][\/et_pb_heading][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.9&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime; global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime;]<\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\"><span>Comme le montrait d\u00e9j\u00e0 le <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/leger360.com\/federal-politics-liberals-regain-ground\/\"><span>sondage f\u00e9d\u00e9ral de L\u00e9ger de septembre<\/span><\/a><span>, l&rsquo;avance nationale des lib\u00e9raux cache des r\u00e9alit\u00e9s politiques bien diff\u00e9rentes d&rsquo;une r\u00e9gion \u00e0 l&rsquo;autre.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Les lib\u00e9raux obtiennent leurs meilleurs r\u00e9sultats dans les provinces de l&rsquo;Atlantique (53 %), en Ontario (51 %) et en Colombie-Britannique (50 %). Les conservateurs arrivent en t\u00eate au Manitoba et en Saskatchewan (46 %), tandis qu&rsquo;en Alberta, les deux principaux partis sont \u00e0 \u00e9galit\u00e9, avec 43 % des intentions de vote chacun.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Au Qu\u00e9bec, les lib\u00e9raux recueillent 47 % des intentions de vote chez les \u00e9lecteurs d\u00e9cid\u00e9s, devant le Bloc qu\u00e9b\u00e9cois (26 %) et les conservateurs (17 %).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Les lib\u00e9raux disposent \u00e9galement d&rsquo;une avance particuli\u00e8rement marqu\u00e9e chez les Canadiens de 55 ans et plus, avec 58 % des intentions de vote contre 27 % pour les conservateurs. Chez les 35 \u00e0 54 ans, la course est beaucoup plus serr\u00e9e, avec respectivement 41 % et 39 %.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ainsi, malgr\u00e9 une avance confortable \u00e0 l&rsquo;\u00e9chelle nationale, l&rsquo;appui aux lib\u00e9raux varie consid\u00e9rablement selon les r\u00e9gions et les groupes d&rsquo;\u00e2ge.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_heading title=\u00a0\u00bbLes Canadiens estiment-ils que l&rsquo;unit\u00e9 nationale s&rsquo;est am\u00e9lior\u00e9e sous Mark Carney?\u00a0\u00bb _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.9&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb title_level=\u00a0\u00bbh2&Prime; custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb45px||||false|false\u00a0\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime; global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime;][\/et_pb_heading][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.9&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb custom_padding=\u00a0\u00bb||0px|||\u00a0\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime; global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime;]<\/p>\n<p><span>La perception du sentiment d&rsquo;unit\u00e9 nationale s&rsquo;est am\u00e9lior\u00e9e depuis novembre 2025, particuli\u00e8rement chez les Canadiens plus \u00e2g\u00e9s. Les deux tiers (66 %) des 55 ans et plus estiment que ce sentiment s&rsquo;est am\u00e9lior\u00e9 depuis l&rsquo;arriv\u00e9e au pouvoir de Mark Carney. M\u00eame parmi les \u00e9lecteurs conservateurs, le tiers (33 %) partage cette perception.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Les Canadiens connaissent \u00e9galement de mieux en mieux l&rsquo;initiative f\u00e9d\u00e9rale des <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.canada.ca\/fr\/conseil-prive\/bureau-grands-projets.html\"><span>Projets d&rsquo;int\u00e9r\u00eat national<\/span><\/a><span>, qui porte sur de grands projets consid\u00e9r\u00e9s comme \u00e9tant d&rsquo;int\u00e9r\u00eat national.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Cette initiative est particuli\u00e8rement connue en Colombie-Britannique (71 %) et en Alberta (62 %), comparativement \u00e0 seulement 37 % au Qu\u00e9bec. Les Canadiens qui connaissent l&rsquo;initiative sont aussi beaucoup plus nombreux \u00e0 juger favorablement sa mise en \u0153uvre : 66 % estiment que Mark Carney fait du bon travail pour lancer ces projets, contre 21 % parmi ceux qui ne la connaissent pas.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Le bilan du gouvernement suscite toutefois des opinions plus partag\u00e9es lorsqu&rsquo;il est question de ses autres engagements.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_heading title=\u00a0\u00bbLes Canadiens estiment-ils que l&rsquo;unit\u00e9 nationale s&rsquo;est am\u00e9lior\u00e9e sous Mark Carney?\u00a0\u00bb _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.9&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb title_level=\u00a0\u00bbh2&Prime; custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb45px||||false|false\u00a0\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime; global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime;][\/et_pb_heading][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.9&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb custom_padding=\u00a0\u00bb||0px|||\u00a0\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime; global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime;]<\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\"><span>Les Canadiens accordent des notes relativement plus \u00e9lev\u00e9es aux progr\u00e8s du gouvernement en mati\u00e8re de diversification des \u00e9changes commerciaux, d&rsquo;acc\u00e8s aux march\u00e9s internationaux pour les ressources naturelles canadiennes et de renforcement des capacit\u00e9s militaires.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>La gestion des relations commerciales entre le Canada et les \u00c9tats-Unis enregistre la plus forte progression depuis novembre 2025, avec une note moyenne en hausse de 1,2 point, pour atteindre 5,9 sur 10.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ces r\u00e9sultats s&rsquo;inscrivent dans un contexte o\u00f9 les <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/leger360.com\/the-trade-war-is-back-buy-canadian\/\"><span>tensions commerciales entre le Canada et les \u00c9tats-Unis continuent d&rsquo;influencer les intentions d&rsquo;achat des Canadiens<\/span><\/a><span>, illustrant la port\u00e9e de cette relation \u00e9conomique au-del\u00e0 des enjeux politiques.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Les progr\u00e8s en mati\u00e8re d&rsquo;abordabilit\u00e9 sont toutefois jug\u00e9s beaucoup moins favorablement. Pr\u00e8s des deux tiers des Canadiens se disent d\u00e9\u00e7us des progr\u00e8s r\u00e9alis\u00e9s pour rendre le logement plus abordable (63 %) et lutter contre la crise du co\u00fbt de la vie (64 %), selon les cat\u00e9gories de r\u00e9ponse du sondage.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Bien que les notes accord\u00e9es \u00e0 ces deux enjeux aient l\u00e9g\u00e8rement augment\u00e9 depuis novembre 2025, elles demeurent parmi les plus faibles attribu\u00e9es aux engagements du gouvernement.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Les Canadiens portent donc un regard nettement plus favorable sur le leadership de Mark Carney que sur les progr\u00e8s r\u00e9alis\u00e9s pour all\u00e9ger les pressions financi\u00e8res qui p\u00e8sent sur les m\u00e9nages.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_divider _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.7&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb45px||||false|false\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_heading title=\u00a0\u00bbM\u00e9thodologie\u00a0\u00bb _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.7&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb title_level=\u00a0\u00bbh3&Prime; custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb30px||||false|false\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][\/et_pb_heading][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.8&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb]<\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\"><span>Ce sondage en ligne a \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9alis\u00e9 du <strong>9 au 12 octobre 2026<\/strong> aupr\u00e8s de <strong>1 525 Canadiens \u00e2g\u00e9s de 18 ans et plus<\/strong>, recrut\u00e9s de mani\u00e8re al\u00e9atoire \u00e0 l&rsquo;aide de notre <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.legeropinion.com\/fr\/\">panel en ligne LEO<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\"><span>Les r\u00e9sultats ont \u00e9t\u00e9 pond\u00e9r\u00e9s selon l&rsquo;\u00e2ge, le genre, la langue maternelle, la r\u00e9gion, la scolarit\u00e9 et la pr\u00e9sence d&rsquo;enfants dans le foyer afin d&rsquo;assurer un \u00e9chantillon repr\u00e9sentatif de la population canadienne.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u00c0 des fins de comparaison, un \u00e9chantillon probabiliste de cette taille aurait une marge d&rsquo;erreur d&rsquo;au plus <strong>\u00b1 2,5<\/strong> points de pourcentage, <strong>19 fois sur 20.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les lib\u00e9raux de Mark Carney conservent leur avance dans les intentions de vote f\u00e9d\u00e9rales, tandis que la satisfaction \u00e0 l&rsquo;\u00e9gard du gouvernement et le taux d&rsquo;approbation du premier ministre demeurent stables. Toutefois, les Canadiens portent un regard beaucoup plus nuanc\u00e9 sur les progr\u00e8s r\u00e9alis\u00e9s par le gouvernement dans diff\u00e9rents dossiers. Selon notre plus r\u00e9cent sondage f\u00e9d\u00e9ral, r\u00e9alis\u00e9 du 9 au 12 octobre 2026, les Canadiens sont de plus en plus nombreux \u00e0 percevoir une am\u00e9lioration du sentiment d&rsquo;unit\u00e9 nationale et \u00e9valuent plus favorablement la gestion des relations commerciales avec les \u00c9tats-Unis. Le bilan du gouvernement en mati\u00e8re d&rsquo;abordabilit\u00e9 suscite toutefois davantage de r\u00e9serves. Les lib\u00e9raux devancent les conservateurs de 15 points, r\u00e9coltant 48 % des intentions de vote chez les \u00e9lecteurs d\u00e9cid\u00e9s, contre 33 % pour les conservateurs. Le NPD obtient 8 %, une hausse de deux points depuis septembre. 57 % des Canadiens sont satisfaits du gouvernement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral, tandis que 58 % approuvent le travail du premier ministre Mark Carney. Ces deux r\u00e9sultats sont inchang\u00e9s depuis septembre. 56 % des Canadiens estiment que le sentiment d&rsquo;unit\u00e9 nationale s&rsquo;est am\u00e9lior\u00e9 depuis l&rsquo;arriv\u00e9e au pouvoir de Mark Carney, une hausse de neuf points depuis novembre 2025. La diversification des \u00e9changes commerciaux [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":29172,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1037],"tags":[1038,487,471,472,1050,207,475,489,212,211,1052,1049],"post_language_cat":[42],"class_list":["post-30876","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dernieres-nouvelles","tag-enquete-leger","tag-gouvernement-carney","tag-intentions-de-vote","tag-intentions-de-vote-federales","tag-mark-carney-2","tag-opinion-publique","tag-parti-liberal-du-canada","tag-politique-canada","tag-politique-canadienne","tag-politique-federale","tag-satisfaction-a-legard-du-gouvernement","tag-satisfaction-a-legard-du-gouvernement-canada","post_language_cat-fr-in-the-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.7 (Yoast SEO v28.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Politique f\u00e9d\u00e9rale : les lib\u00e9raux en avance de 15 points<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le sondage f\u00e9d\u00e9ral d&#039;octobre 2026 r\u00e9v\u00e8le une avance des lib\u00e9raux, une approbation stable de Mark Carney et des r\u00e9serves sur l&#039;abordabilit\u00e9.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/leger360.com\/fr\/politique-federale-intentions-vote-carney-octobre-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_CA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Politique f\u00e9d\u00e9rale : les lib\u00e9raux en avance de 15 points\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Le sondage f\u00e9d\u00e9ral d&#039;octobre 2026 r\u00e9v\u00e8le une avance des lib\u00e9raux, une approbation stable de Mark Carney et des r\u00e9serves sur l&#039;abordabilit\u00e9.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/leger360.com\/fr\/politique-federale-intentions-vote-carney-octobre-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Leger\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/leger360\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-10-16T11:44:44+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-10-16T11:47:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/leger360.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/AdobeStock_744146748-scaled.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1709\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Chlo\u00e9 Bergeron\" \/>\n<meta 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