Economic Recession and Federal Politics

December 20, 2023

Every month, we conduct a survey of Canadians and Americans to explore their views on the economy, finances, and their respective governments. This month, our survey was conducted between December 15 and 17, 2023.

Download the report for the full results.


This series of surveys is available on Leger’s website. Would you like to be the first to receive these results? Subscribe to our newsletter now. 

Some of the key highlights of our survey about Canadian federal politics and the economy include…

Voting intentions remain stable

  • Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party remains in the lead. If a federal election were to be held today, 38% of Canadians would vote for the Conservative Party of Canada, a 10 points gap from Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party (28%).
  • Canadians also think Pierre Poilievre is the leader who would make the best prime minister among the federal party leaders (25%), ahead of Justin Trudeau (20%) and Jagmeet Singh (16%), which is stable compared to last month. However, Pierre Poilievre’s numbers have decreased by 4 points since October 2023. 
  • One-third of Canadians are satisfied with the Trudeau government, representing a 4-point increase since last month.

Americans have a more favourable view of their economy compared to Canadians

  • 60% of Canadians consider their household finances to be good, while 67% of Americans feel the same way.
  • 63% of Canadians and 54% of Americans believe their respective countries are in a recession.
  • Almost half of Canadians (48%) say they live paycheque to paycheque, up 4 points from November 2023. Among Americans, 43% say the same thing.

METHODOLOGY

This web survey was conducted from December 15 to 17, 2023, with 1,622 Canadians and 1,000 Americans, 18 years of age or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel.

A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey. For comparison, a probability sample of 1,622 respondents would have a margin of error of ±2.43%, 19 times out of 20, while a probability sample of 1,000 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20.

Related Posts

Cube AI Insights: You Bought 30 Seconds. You Got 2.

Cube AI reveals why advertisers have just 2 seconds to grab attention—spark curiosity, build trust, and make ads memorable before viewers scroll away.Across hundreds of ad tests, Cube AI consistently notices the same pattern: If attention doesn’t lock in early, it...

Craft Advertising That Leaves a Mark, No Matter the Market

There’s a quiet flaw in global marketing strategy that plays out in markets around the world every day: International ads — often beautifully produced and widely celebrated in their home markets — are launched in new regions with minimal or no adaptation. Maybe the...

How Rebirth Storylines Reveal Themselves in Emotional Journeys

In his seminal work The Seven Basic Plots, author Christopher Booker argues that nearly all stories, across cultures and eras, follow one of seven fundamental narrative structures. These include well-known arcs like Overcoming the Monster, The Quest, and Rags to...

Get the latest in your inbox

Stay up to date on cutting-edge research, news and more.