From August 23 to 25, 2024, we surveyed Americans on the upcoming U.S. Presidential election.
Some of the key highlights from our U.S. Politics Survey include…
Harris is slightly ahead, but the race is still close.
- If the presidential election were held today, Harris would receive 50% of the votes and Trump 46%. Those results are stable when compared to July.
- When we asked Americans who they think will win the election in November, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump were tied at 50%. The same is true for who Americans think will win the next presidential debate in September—51% think Harris will win, and 49% think Trump will.
- One-third of Americans don’t know the vice-presidential candidates enough to form an opinion.
- Overall, around half of Americans (47%) have an unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump, while 43% have a favorable opinion of him, and 5% don’t know him enough to have an opinion. Regarding his vice-presidential candidate, JD Vance, 26% have a favorable opinion of him, 35% have an unfavorable one, and 34% don’t know him enough. Among Republican voters, 85% have a favorable opinion of Trump and 55% of JD Vance.
- Overall, 44% of Americans have a favorable opinion of Kamala Harris, 39% have an unfavorable opinion, and 12% don’t know her well enough to have an opinion. Regarding the vice-presidential candidate Tim Walz, 34% have a favorable opinion of him, 27% have an unfavorable one, and 34% don’t know him well enough. Among Democratic voters, 81% have a favorable opinion of Harris, and 64% have a favorable opinion of Tim Walz.
- Four out of ten Americans (39%) believe the Democratic Convention was better than the Republican one (29%). Among Democratic voters, 80% preferred their convention, while 71% of Republican voters favored theirs.
Methodology
This web survey was conducted from August 23 to August 25, 2024, with 1,032 U.S. residents, aged 18 or older. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey.
For comparison purposes, a probability sample of this size yields a margin of error no greater than ±3.05%, (19 times out of 20) for the American sample.
