Every month, we conduct a survey of Canadians to explore their views on the current government and politics in Canada. This month, our survey was conducted between November 29th and December 1st, 2024.
Some of the key highlights of our survey about Canadian federal politics include…
- Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party is currently leading by 22 points, ahead of Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party. If a federal election were held today, 43% of Canadians would vote for the Conservative Party of Canada, while 21% would vote for Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party. The NDP trail at 19%. Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party has experienced a significant drop of 5 points this month, while Jagmeet Singh’s NDP has seen a gain of 4 points.
- There continues to be significant dissatisfaction with Justin Trudeau’s government among Canadians. Almost seven out of ten Canadians (69%) are dissatisfied, while only 26% say they are currently satisfied.
- Pierre Poilievre is still perceived as the best candidate for Prime Minister, at 31%. Meanwhile, only 15% see Justin Trudeau as the best PM, a 2-point decrease from last month (17%).
Some of the key highlights of our survey about the Government of Canada’s New Economic Measures…
- Only one-third of Canadians believe that the new economic measures announced by Justin Trudeau’s government will benefit them. Specifically, 32% think the temporary GST holiday (a 5% tax break) on certain products will be somewhat or very helpful, while a similar proportion (30%) feel the same about the $250 cheque for Canadians who worked in 2023. Younger Canadians aged 18 to 34, as well as Liberal and NDP voters, are more likely to view these measures as helpful.
- Half of Canadians say they will not change their holiday shopping plans to take advantage of the tax changes coming into effect on December 14th. About a third (29%) indicate they will try to do most (15%) or some (14%) of their shopping after that date. Younger Canadians aged 18 to 34 are more inclined to delay their shopping until the 14th (45%).
- Seven in ten Canadians (70%) believe the two new measures introduced by the government are purely electoral tactics aimed at securing votes, while 21% think they are genuine efforts to help people manage the rising cost of living. Conservative voters (88%) are the most likely to view these measures as purely electoral.
- The new measures appear to have little effect on voting intentions for the Liberal Party. Two-thirds of Canadians (65%) say the measures will not influence their likelihood of supporting Justin Trudeau and the Liberals in the next election. Meanwhile, 22% say they are now less likely to support the party, and 8% say they are more likely to do so.
- Three-quarters of Canadians (72%) believe the $250 government cheques should be extended to other groups, such as seniors, individuals with disabilities, and those unable to work in 2023. Support for this idea is higher among NDP voters (81%) and Liberal voters (79%).
Methodology
This web survey was conducted from November 29 to December 1, 2024, with 1,532 Canadians aged 18 or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey.
For comparison purposes, a probability sample of this size yields a margin of error no greater than ±2.50%, (19 times out of 20) for the Canadian sample.
