Federal Voting Intentions: November 2024

November 7, 2024

Every month, we conduct a survey of Canadians to explore their views on the current government and politics in Canada. This month, our survey was conducted between November 1st and 3rd, 2024. 

Some of the key highlights of our survey about Canadian federal politics include…

  • Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party is currently leading by 16 points, ahead of Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party. If a federal election were held today, 42% of Canadians would vote for the Conservative Party of Canada, while 26% would vote for Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party. The NDP trail at 15%.
  • There continues to be significant dissatisfaction with Justin Trudeau’s government among Canadians. Almost seven out of ten Canadians (68%) are dissatisfied, while only 27% say they are currently satisfied. Only 5% of respondents reported being “very satisfied” with the current government, compared to 43% who are “very dissatisfied“.
  • Pierre Poilievre is still perceived as the best candidate for Prime Minister, now at 30% this month. Meanwhile, only 17% see Justin Trudeau as the best PM, a modest 2-point increase from last month (15%).

Methodology

This web survey was conducted from November 1 to November 3, 2024, with 1,549 Canadians aged 18 or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey.

For comparison purposes, a probability sample of this size yields a margin of error no greater than ±2.49%, (19 times out of 20) for the Canadian sample.

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