Federal Voting Intentions: November 2024

November 7, 2024

Every month, we conduct a survey of Canadians ​to explore their views on the current government and politics in Canada. This month, our survey ​was conducted between November 1st and 3rd, 2024. 

Some of the key highlights ​of our survey about Canadian federal politics include…​

  • Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party is currently leading by 16 points, ahead of Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party. If a federal election were held today, 42% of Canadians would vote for the Conservative Party of Canada, while 26% would vote for Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party. The NDP trail at 15%.​
  • There continues to be significant dissatisfaction with Justin Trudeau’s government among Canadians. Almost seven out of ten Canadians (68%) are dissatisfied, while only 27% say they are currently satisfied. Only 5% of respondents reported being “very satisfied” with the current government, compared to 43% who are “very dissatisfied“. ​
  • Pierre Poilievre is still perceived as the best candidate for Prime Minister, now at 30% this month. Meanwhile, only 17% see Justin Trudeau as the best PM, a modest 2-point increase from last month (15%).

Methodology

This web survey was conducted from November 1 to November 3, 2024, with 1,549 Canadians aged 18 or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey.

For comparison purposes, a probability sample of this size yields a margin of error no greater than ±2.49%, (19 times out of 20) for the Canadian sample.

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