Less than a year after the 2025 federal election, the minority Liberal government led by Mark Carney continues to strengthen its position in public opinion.
As the Prime Minister Carney advances diplomatic initiatives on the international stage and works to stabilize the economic climate at home, the latest Leger data shows a continued rise in both satisfaction and approval ratings. Results indicate that 59% of respondents say they are satisfied with the government, while 61% approve of the Prime Minister’s performance.
Electorally, the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) now holds 49% of decided voter intentions, a 14-point lead over the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC), which stands at 35%.
Liberal Support Climbs to 49%
If a federal election were held today, the Liberal Party of Canada would secure 49% of decided voters, up 2 points since January.
The Conservatives follow at 35%, down 3 points. The gap between the two parties now stands at 14 points, compared to a 9-point lead in Leger’s previous poll.
The Bloc Québécois sits at 5% nationally, representing 25% of voting intentions in Quebec. The New Democratic Party stands at 5%, while the Green Party receives 3%.
This Liberal lead reflects a trend that has been building since fall 2025. The so-called “Carney effect” remains visible, particularly among older voters and in major urban centres.
Government Satisfaction: Nearly Six in Ten Canadians Satisfied
When it comes to perceptions of government performance, 59% of Canadians say they are satisfied with the Liberal government led by Mark Carney, while 33% report dissatisfaction.
Satisfaction is highest among respondents aged 55 and older, at 66%. It rises to 93% among Liberal voters but drops to 25% among Conservative voters.
Mark Carney’s Approval Continues to Rise
From a leadership perspective, Mark Carney has focused on economic stability, trade diversification, and positioning Canada among influential middle powers globally. His recent diplomatic visits to India and Australia aim to strengthen strategic partnerships and expand economic cooperation.
Approval of the Prime Minister’s performance now stands at 61%, up 2 points since January. Meanwhile, 31% disapprove.
Age once again plays a role. Among Canadians aged 55 and older, 66% approve of his work. Support is nearly unanimous among Liberal voters at 95%, while just over one-quarter of Conservative voters, 27%, express approval.
Next Federal Election: Nearly Half Prefer to Wait Until 2029
Close to half of Canadians, 49%, believe the next federal election should take place in 2029, as mandated by fixed election date legislation. By contrast, 10% believe an election should be held immediately. Similar proportions favour an election this spring, at 11%, or this fall, at 13%.
Partisan differences are significant. Nearly one-quarter of Conservative voters, 24%, want an immediate election, while 71% of Liberal voters prefer to wait until 2029.
Methodology
This online survey was conducted from February 27 to March 2, 2026, among 1,627 Canadians aged 18 and older. Respondents were randomly recruited from Léger’s LEO online panel. Results were weighted according to age, gender, mother tongue, region, education, and presence of children in the household to ensure representativeness of the Canadian population.
A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample. For comparison, a probability sample of this size would have a margin of error of ±2.43%, 19 times out of 20.
