Justin Trudeau’s Political Future

July 4, 2024
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From June 28 to June 30, 2024, we surveyed Canadians to learn their opinions and perceptions of Trudeau’s leadership.  

Download the report to learn more

Key highlights of our survey include…

  • Three out of five Canadians (63%) disapprove of Justin Trudeau’s performance as Prime Minister, while around one-quarter (27%) approve. The disapproval rate is almost universal among Conservative voters (91%), but just over 2 in 10 Liberal supporters currently disapprove of the PM.
  • 82% of Conservative voters and the same proportion of NDP voters (82%) think their respective leaders, Pierre Poilievre and Jagmeet Singh, should lead their party into the next election. However,only 63% of current Liberal voters think he should lead the party into the next election.
  • A majority of Canadians (66%) believe that Justin Trudeau will not resign as Prime Minister and will stay on to lead his party into the next election. Nine percent think he will step down this summer, 11% by September, 8% by Thanksgiving, and 7% by Christmas. 

Methodology

This web survey was conducted from June 28 to June 30, 2024, with 1,521 Canadians aged 18 or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey.

For comparison purposes, a probability sample of this size yields a margin of error no greater than ±2.51%, (19 times out of 20) for the Canadian sample.

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