Justin Trudeau’s Political Future

4 July 2024

From June 28 to June 30, 2024, we surveyed Canadians to learn their opinions and perceptions of Trudeau’s leadership.  

Key highlights of our survey include

  • Three out of five Canadians (63%) disapprove of Justin Trudeau’s performance as Prime Minister, while around one-quarter (27%) approve. The disapproval rate is almost universal among Conservative voters (91%), but just over 2 in 10 Liberal supporters currently disapprove of the PM.
  • 82% of Conservative voters and the same proportion of NDP voters (82%) think their respective leaders, Pierre Poilievre and Jagmeet Singh, should lead their party into the next election. However,only 63% of current Liberal voters think he should lead the party into the next election.
  • A majority of Canadians (66%) believe that Justin Trudeau will not resign as Prime Minister and will stay on to lead his party into the next election. Nine percent think he will step down this summer, 11% by September, 8% by Thanksgiving, and 7% by Christmas. 

Methodology

This web survey was conducted from June 28 to June 30, 2024, with 1,521 Canadians aged 18 or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey.

For comparison purposes, a probability sample of this size yields a margin of error no greater than ±2.51%, (19 times out of 20) for the Canadian sample.

Related Posts

Back to School 2026: Priorities of Canadian Parents

For many Canadian families, back-to-school season is already underway, but the questions it raises do not end once school supplies have been purchased. Between the cost of back-to-school shopping, children’s well-being, and the skills they will need later in life,...

Alberta Referendum: Undecided Share Rises Significantly

Most Alberta residents continue to favour remaining a province of Canada, but our August survey shows a significant increase in the share who are undecided or not sure about how they would vote.  The official referendum question asks Albertans to choose between...

Get the latest in your inbox

Stay up to date on cutting-edge research, news and more.