Canadian Federal Politics and Economic Instability

November 29, 2023

Every month, we conduct our North American Tracker, a survey of Canadians and Americans that explores their views on the economy, finances, and their respective governments. Our November 2023 survey conducted from November 24 to 26, 2023.

Download the report for the full results.


This series of surveys is available on Leger’s website. Would you like to be the first to receive these results? Subscribe to our newsletter now. 

Some of the key highlights of our November 2023 North American Tracker include…

Voting intentions remain stable.

  • Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party remains in the lead: if a federal election were held today,40% of decided voters would vote for the Conservative Party of Canada and 26% would vote for Trudeau’s Liberal Party.
  • Canadians also think Pierre Poilievre is the leader who would make the best Prime Minister among the federal party leaders (25%), ahead of Justin Trudeau (19%) and Jagmeet Singh (17%). The proportion of Canadians who feel Poilievre would make the best prime minister has dropped by 4 points since October.
  • Less than one-third of Canadians (29%) are satisfied with the Trudeau government, which has been stable since October.

Canadians and Americans are still concerned about the economy, but there are signs of improvement.

  • 62% of Canadians consider their household’s finances to be good, an increase of 4 points compared to October. A similar proportion of Americans (64%) describe their household’s finances as good.
  • Almost two-thirds of Canadians (65%) and over half of Americans (55%) believe their respective countries are in a recession.
  • 44% of Canadians say they live paycheque to paycheque, down 6 points from October 2023. Among Americans, there has been a 3-point increase in those who say they live paycheque to paycheque, from 44% in October to 47% in November.

Methodology

This web survey was conducted from November 24 to 26, 2023, with 1,529 Canadians and 1,001 Americans, 18 years of age or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel.

A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey. For comparison, a probability sample of 1,529 respondents would have a margin of error of ±2.51%, 19 times out of 20, while a probability sample of 1,001 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20.

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