Provincial Politics in Ontario – May 11, 2022

May 11, 2022

From May 6-8, 2022, Leger surveyed eligible Ontario voters about provincial politics in Ontario to understand their voting intentions, impressions of the provincial party leaders, engagement with the 2022 provincial election campaign, perspectives on campaign issues and more.

SOME OF THE KEY HIGHLIGHTS OF OUR SURVEY OF ELIGIBLE ONTARIO VOTERS INCLUDE…

  • 48% think Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario will win the next provincial election and form government.
  • 30% think Doug Ford would make the best premier for Ontario.
  • 60% think the most important issue in this election will be which party has the best plan to lead Ontario out of the pandemic by focusing on growing Ontario’s economy and creating jobs (vs. 23% who think the most important issue will relate to how the provincial government handled the pandemic).
  • If a provincial election were held today, 39% of decided voters would vote for the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario, 26% would vote for the Ontario Liberal Party and 25% would vote for the Ontario New Democratic Party.

SURVEY METHODOLOGY

A web survey was conducted among 1,005 Ontario residents, 18 years of age or older, who are eligible to vote in Ontario, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel.

The data was collected from May 6 to 8, 2022.

For comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1,005 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20.

The results were weighted according to gender and age within Ontario regions, as well as by education and presence of children in the household in order to ensure a representative sample of the population. 

Related Posts

Halloween Habits and Beliefs

From October 24 to 26, 2025, we surveyed Canadians to know more about their spending and habits related to Halloween, as well as their beliefs. 80% of children old enough to go trick-or-treating will do so this Halloween, half of Canadians (46%) will be handing out...

Government of British Columbia Report Card: October 2025

Every few months, Leger conducts a study on the performance of the British Columbian government. This time, the study was conducted between October 10 and October 12, 2025. NDP Extends Double-Digit Lead: The BC NDP has widened its lead over the Conservatives to ten...

Government of Alberta Report Card: October 2025

Every few months, Leger conducts a study on the performance of the Albertan government. This time, the study was conducted between October 10 and October 12, 2025. Public Outlook Continues to Weaken: Albertans have become increasingly pessimistic about the direction...

Perceptions of Pipeline Development in Canada​

This week, we conducted a survey of Canadians to explore their attitudes toward pipeline development and energy policy.​ Half of Canadians (49%) support Alberta’s proposed new pipeline to export oil and gas beyond North America, while 16% oppose and21% neither support...

Get the latest in your inbox

Stay up to date on cutting-edge research, news and more.