Alberta Voting Intentions: May 2024

June 3, 2024

From May 22 to 25, 2024, we surveyed Albertans to know more about their provincial voting intentions, attitudes on key issues, and perspectives on new bills.

Highlights from our survey on Albertans’ provincial voting intentions include…

Voting Intention

  • Danielle Smith’s United Conservative Party continues to hold the lead over the Alberta NDP in voting intention, currently leading by 4 percentage points. The UCP’s lead over the Alberta NDP has halved since March 2024.

Perspectives on New Bills

  • Just less than half (46%) of Albertans agree that Bill 21, Emergency Statutes Amendment Act, would be beneficial to Albertans.
  • Two in five Albertans (40%) agree that Bill 20, the Municipal Statutes Amendment Act, would be beneficial to municipalities and Albertans. 
  • Albertans are evenly split regarding Bill 18, the Provincial Priorities Act, with two in five Albertans supporting (40%) or opposing (39%) the bill’s introduction.

Attitudes on Key Issues

  • Healthcare is the most important single issue among Albertans, with over one-third (35%) of Albertans mentioning it as their first or second most important issue. 
  • Following health care, inflation and rising interest rates (32%) and housing prices and affordability (28%) are top issues for Albertans. 
  • For key issues in the province, Albertans believe Danielle Smith and the United Conservative Party have done the best job in their response to wildfires (50% good job) but the worst in housing prices and affordability (60% bad job). 
  • Just less than one in five (19%) Albertans report being impacted by the recent wildfires in the province. 

Methodology

An online survey was conducted among 1,009 Albertans, 18 years of age or older, from May 22 to 25, 2024. The data was weighted according to the Canadian census figures for age, gender, and region within the province. No margin of error can be associated with a non-probability sample. However, for comparative purposes, a probability sample of 1,009 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20.

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