As the 2024 BC provincial election draws near, Leger plans to repeatedly administer this survey on a weekly basis to provide up-to-date polling and insights related to the upcoming election. This survey was conducted from September 27 to 30, 2024.
Highlights of the study include…
- Momentum for the BC Conservative Party (46%) continues to build. The party holds the top position in voting intention among decided voters for the second straight week and sits 3 percentage points above the BC NDP (43%).
- More than eight in ten (84%) BC residents indicate they are likely to vote, with nearly two-thirds (64%) indicating that they will “definitely vote.”
- More than three-quarters (76%) of decided voters report that they are not likely to switch their vote, while less than one in five (17%) indicate they are likely to do so.
- Premier David Eby continues to have the highest individual favourability rating (46%) ahead of Rustad (36%) and Furstenau (33%).
- 36% of BC residents believe that things in the province are going in the right direction, while 55% believe that things in the province are on the wrong track.
- Housing affordability remains the top issue in BC, followed by health care, inflation/rising interest rates, and the economy. When the top 2 issues are considered, health care becomes the top issue this week after experiencing significant increases in total importance since the September 23rd wave.
Methodology
This web survey was conducted from September 27 to 30, 2024, with 1,002 British Columbians aged 18 or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey. For comparison, a probability sample of 1,002 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.1 %, 19 times out of 20.
