Danielle Smith and Provincial Voting Intentions

October 14, 2022

Leger recently surveyed Albertans about their perspectives on Danielle Smith, the new premier and UCP leader, and their provincial voting intentions.


  • A near-equal proportion of decided voters would vote for the NDP (44%) or UCP (42%).
  • Decided voters in Edmonton are more likely to vote NDP than those outside of Edmonton or Calgary.
  • Less than 30% of Albertans agree that Premier Danielle Smith will bring about positive change, and those in Edmonton hold the lowest opinion of the new premier.
  • 36% of Albertans believe that Rachel Notley would be the best premier of Alberta, followed by 22% who think Danielle Smith would be the best premier.


  • A total of n=1,000 online surveys were conducted among Albertans aged 18 or older via Leger’s LEO panel.
  • The survey was conducted from October 7 to 10, 2022, using computer-assisted web interviewing (CAWI) technology.
  • Using data from the 2021 Census, results were weighted according to age, gender, and region in order to ensure a representative sample of the population.
  • As a non-random internet survey, a margin of error is not reported. If the data were collected through a random sample, the margin of error for a sample size of n=1,000 would be ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20.

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