From March 7 to 10, 2025, we surveyed Canadians on federal politics.
Highlights of our survey include…
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If a federal election were held today, 37% of Canadians would vote for the Conservative Party of Canada, while 37% would vote for the Liberal Party. The Conservative Party of Canada has decreased by six points compared to last week (43%), while the Liberal Party of Canada has increased by seven points (30%). Volatility in the public environment continues. With Mark Carney as the leader of the Liberal Party, the Conservatives and the Liberals are in a tie.
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Half of Canadians want a change of government for the next federal election (53%), whereas 29% want the current team to continue and form the next government.
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A third of respondents (33%) would like the election to take place this spring. On the other hand, a third of respondents (31%) would prefer the election to take place at the fixed date by the Canada Election Act, no late than October 20th . Support for an earlier election is higher among Albertans (43%) and respondents aged 55 and older (40%).
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Overall, more than a third of respondents (37%) are satisfied with the Canadian government led by Justin Trudeau, while 57% are dissatisfied.
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Half of Canadians (51%) would like to see an increase of the Canadian Armed Forces’ budget. This proportion is higher among respondents aged 55 and older (71%), Albertans (62%) and male respondents (61%).
Methodology
The results for this wave of research are based on online research conducted from March 7 to March 10, with a representative sample of 1,548 Canadian adults 18 years of age and older from Leger’s LEO panel.
The data was statistically weighted according to 2021 Canadian Census figures.
A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey, but for comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1,548 would have a margin of error of +/- 2.49%, 19 times out of 20.
