From February 28 to March 2, 2025, we surveyed Canadians on federal politics.
Highlights of our study include…
- If a federal election were held today, 43% of Canadians would vote for the Conservative Party of Canada, while 30% would vote for the Liberal Party. The Conservative Party of Canada has increased by five points compared to last week (35%), while the Liberal Party of Canada has decreased by five points (35%). Volatility in the public environment continues.
- With Mark Carney as leader, Liberal support would rise to 33% (+3), while Conservative support would be at 41%. If Marc Carney were the leader of the Liberal Party, the Conservatives still lead among Canadians’ voting preferences—by 8 points.
Methodology
The results for this wave of research are based on online research conducted from February 28 to March 2, 2025, with a representative sample of 1,548 Canadian adults 18 years of age and older from Leger’s LEO panel.
The data was statistically weighted according to 2021 Canadian Census figures.
A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey, but for comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1,548 would have a margin of error of +/- 2.49%, 19 times out of 20.
