Federal Voting Intentions
From July 4 to July 6, we surveyed Canadians on their federal voting intentions, their views on government performance, and key national issues. Discover all the insights by downloading our report below.
Key highlights from our report include...
The Liberals continue to lead in voting intentions
If an election were held today, nearly one in two Canadians (48%) would vote for Mark Carney’s Liberal Party, placing it well ahead of the Conservative Party (35%).
Satisfaction with the Carney Government
- A majority of Canadians (55%) say they are satisfied with the Carney government, including 13% who are very satisfied. Satisfaction is highest among Liberal voters (91%) and among those aged 55+ (63%). Approval of Mark Carney’s performance as Prime Minister is similar, with 58% approving. Once again, approval is higher among Liberal voters (93%) and those aged 55+ (66%).
Views on Bill C-5 and Infrastructure Decision-Making
- Most Canadians (56%) view Bill C-5 as a good idea, while 25% see it as a bad one. Support is strongest in Manitoba and Saskatchewan (70%), in British Columbia (66%) and among males and older respondents (66% for both groups). Liberal voters are the most supportive (72%), while opposition is higher among voters of all other parties (GPC, NDP, BQ and CPC).
- When it comes to who should have the final say on major national projects, 42% believe that federal, provincial, and Indigenous governments should all be required to approve such projects. Only 8% think the federal government should act alone. The collaborative preference is especially strong among NDP (64%), Bloc (63%) and Liberal (46%) voters.
Top Issues for Canadians
- Tariffs and U.S. aggression (20%) remain a top concern for Canadians. Inflation (18%), housing affordability (11%), and the state of the economy (10%) are also among the top cited issues.
Methodology
The results for this wave of research are based on online research conducted from July 4 to July 6, 2025 with a representative sample of 1,546 Canadian adults 18 years of age and older from Leger’s LEO panel.
Results were weighted according to age, gender, mother tongue, region, education and presence of children in the household in order to ensure a representative sample of the Canadian population.
A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey, but for comparison purposes, a probability sample of this size yields a margin of error no greater than ±2.49%, (19 times out of 20) for the sample.
