This week, we surveyed Canadians on politics, government performance, and key national issues.
Highlights include…
Liberal Lead Narrows Slightly but Remains Strong
- If an election were held today, the Liberal Party of Canada would receive 44% of the vote among decided voters, maintaining the lead over the Conservative Party at 38%. The Bloc Québécois sits at 7%, followed by the NDP at 6%, and the Green Party at 3%. Compared to last month, Liberal support has dropped by 3 points, while Conservative support has remained the same.
Satisfaction with the Carney Government Declines
- After a strong start, satisfaction with the Mark Carney government has declined, suggesting that the initial post-election boost is fading. Currently, 46% of Canadians say they are satisfied with the government, down 5 points from last month. Overall, satisfaction has been on a downward trend since July. Satisfaction remains highest among older Canadians (55+) at 55% and in Ontario at 49%, but much lower in Alberta (31%) and among Conservative voters (12%).
Approval of Prime Minister Carney
- Approval of Mark Carney’s performance has declined to 47%, marking a continued decrease since last month (53%) and since July (58%). Disapproval now stands at 41%. Approval remains highest among Liberal voters (90%) and older Canadians (57%), as well as in Ontario (53%) and British Columbia (51%).
Methodology
This online survey was conducted among 1,562 Canadian residents aged 18 or older, from October 3 to 5, 2025. Respondents were randomly recruited through LEO’s online panel. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey. For comparison, a probability sample of this size would have a margin of error of ±2.48%, 19 times out of 20.
