From February 21 to 23, 2025, we surveyed Canadians on federal politics.
Highlights of our survey include…
- If a federal election were held today, 38% of Canadians would vote for the Conservative Party of Canada, while 35% would vote for the Liberal Party. The Liberal Party has increased by two points compared to last week (33%), while the Conservative Party has decreased by three points (41%).
- With Mark Carney as leader, Liberal support would rise to 40% (+5), while Conservative support would be at 38%. If Marc Carney were the leader of the Liberal Party, it would surpass the Conservatives and take the lead in voting intentions.
Methodology
The results for this wave of research are based on online research conducted from February 21 to 23, 2025, with a representative sample of 1,534 Canadian adults 18 years of age and older from Leger’s LEO panel.
The data was statistically weighted according to 2021 Canadian Census figures.
A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey, but for comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1,550 would have a margin of error of +/- 2.50%, 19 times out of 20.
