Final 2023 Alberta Election Poll: Before the Election – May 27, 2023 

May 27, 2023

Leger recently surveyed Albertans about Alberta politics and their final voting intentions for the 2023 Alberta election poll: before the election.


  • With less than a week to go before the next election, UCP takes a narrow lead with 49% of voting intentions among decided voters, while the NDP follows closely behind with 46%.
  • 56% of decided voters in Edmonton are more likely to vote NDP, while those living outside of Edmonton or Calgary are more likely to vote UCP (60%).
  • 55% of Albertans aged 55+ are more likely to vote UCP, while 56% of those aged between 18 and 34 are more likely to vote NDP.
  • 76% of Albertans who will vote for a listed party have made a final decision for who to vote for. 21% indicate that they may change their mind.
  • 80% of decided NDP voters have made a final decision as to who they will vote for.
  • 38% of Albertans feel Danielle Smith and the UCP will win the next provincial election and form the next government.


  • A total of n=1,011 online surveys were conducted among Albertans aged 18 or older via Leger’s LEO panel.
  • The survey was conducted from May 23 to 25, 2023, using computer-assisted web interviewing (CAWI) technology.
  • Using data from the 2021 Census, the results were weighted according to age, gender, and region in order to ensure a representative sample of the population.
  • As a non-random internet survey, a margin of error is not reported. If the data were collected through a random sample, the margin of error for a sample size of n=1,011 would be ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20.

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