Leger’s latest Alberta Government Report Card shows the UCP at 53% among decided voters, compared with 36% for the Alberta NDP. That is a seven point gain for the UCP since January, while the NDP has edged down by one point. For now, the governing party of Danielle Smith is consolidating support rather than merely holding its ground.
Premier Danielle Smith’s approval has also rebounded to 46%, while Naheed Nenshi’s approval has fallen to 35%.
That shift is happening in a province where the public mood remains uneasy. A majority of Albertans, 56%, say the province is on the wrong track, while 37% say it is headed in the right direction. Health care remains the top issue facing the province, followed by inflation, the economy, and provincial nationalism or separatism.
The report also points to rising tension around Alberta’s place within Canada. While 64% say Alberta should remain part of Canada, support for independence has risen to 23%. Concern about separatist movements remains significant at 54%.
Methodology
This online survey was conducted among 1,003 Alberta residents aged 18 or older, from April 3 to April 6, 2026. Respondents were randomly recruited through LEO’s online panel. Results were weighted by age, gender, region, and education to reflect the population of Alberta.
A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey. For comparison purposes, a probability sample of this size would have a margin of error of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20.
