Federal Voting Intentions: Week of February 17

19 February 2025

From February 14 to 17, 2025, we surveyed Canadians on federal politics.

Some of the key highlights of our survey about Canadian Politics​…

  • If a federal election were held today, 41% of Canadians would vote for the Conservative Party of Canada, while 33% would vote for the Liberal Party.
  • With Mark Carney as leader, Liberal support would rise to 39% (+8), while Conservative support would be at 40%, suggesting Carney could attract voters and improve the party’s electoral chances.

Methodology

The results for this wave of research are based on online research conducted from February 14 to 17, 2025, with a representative sample of 1,550 Canadian adults 18 years of age and older from Leger’s LEO panel.

The data was statistically weighted according to 2021 Canadian Census figures. ​

A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey, but for comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1,550 would have a margin of error of +/- 2.49%, 19 times out of 20.

Related Posts

Back to School 2026: Priorities of Canadian Parents

For many Canadian families, back-to-school season is already underway, but the questions it raises do not end once school supplies have been purchased. Between the cost of back-to-school shopping, children’s well-being, and the skills they will need later in life,...

Alberta Referendum: Undecided Share Rises Significantly

Most Alberta residents continue to favour remaining a province of Canada, but our August survey shows a significant increase in the share who are undecided or not sure about how they would vote.  The official referendum question asks Albertans to choose between...

Get the latest in your inbox

Stay up to date on cutting-edge research, news and more.