Federal Polling: Liberals Maintain Lead as Satisfaction with Carney Government Rises

The latest Leger federal polling shows a stable federal landscape: the Liberals continue to lead nationally, the Conservatives hold their ground, and Canadians’ assessment of the Carney government remains more positive than negative.

Among decided voters, the Liberals hold 48% support, followed by the Conservatives at 34%. The NDP and Bloc Québécois each stand at 6%, while the Green Party is at 4% and other parties are at 2%.

• The Liberals remain ahead nationally, despite a slight dip since June 1.
• Conservative support is stable overall, with Alberta and rural Canada remaining key areas of strength.
• Satisfaction with the federal government has increased since the beginning of June.
• Prime Minister Mark Carney continues to receive net-positive approval from Canadians.
• Older Canadians remain one of the strongest groups for both Liberal support and approval of Carney’s performance.

If a federal election were held today, the Liberals would remain ahead of the Conservatives among decided voters. Their support is especially strong in Atlantic Canada, Ontario and British Columbia, giving the party a broad regional foundation outside the Prairies.

The Conservatives, meanwhile, continue to draw their strongest support from Alberta and rural Canadians. For broader regional context, read Leger’s recent analysis of Alberta’s sovereignty and separation debate, which shows how closely Albertans are following political questions tied to the province’s place in Canada.

Canadians’ assessment of the federal government led by Prime Minister Mark Carney has improved since June 1. While dissatisfaction remains present, the overall balance of opinion continues to favour the government.

Carney’s personal approval rating also remains positive. Approval is strongest among older Canadians, men and Liberal voters, suggesting that the prime minister continues to benefit from a solid base of support among key segments.

This broader positive assessment aligns with Leger’s recent Quebec Political Barometer, where Mark Carney ranked first among tested political personalities in Quebec.

This Leger survey was conducted online from June 19 to June 22, 2026, among 1,528 Canadians aged 18 and older. Respondents were recruited through LEO, Leger’s online panel, and could complete the survey in English or French. Results were weighted by age, gender, mother tongue, region, education and presence of children in the household to ensure a representative sample of the Canadian population. For comparison purposes, a probability sample of this size would have a margin of error no greater than ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20.