From April 29 to May 1, 2025, we surveyed Canadians on the outcome of the 2025 federal election.
Highlights include…
Over half of Canadians (53%) had already decided who to vote for before the campaign even began. This proportion is even higher among Conservative voters (68%). Meanwhile, 15% made their decision during the final weekend (7%) or on election day itself (8%).
Trump’s tariffs (29%) were the top issue influencing Canadian voters, followed by inflation (11%) and health care (7%).
Among Canadians who did not vote, the most common reasons were the belief that their vote wouldn’t make a difference (33%) and a general indifference toward the entire process (30%).
Half of Canadians (52%) are satisfied with the outcome of the federal election, and a similar proportion (51%) prefers the next election to take place as scheduled, in four years. Conservative voters (40%) are more likely to want another federal election as soon as possible.
Two-thirds of Canadians (65%) trust that the election results are accurate. However, 16% say they trust them only somewhat, and 13% do not trust them at all.
Methodology
The results for this wave of research are based on online research conducted from April 29 to May 1, 2025, with a representative sample of 1,502 Canadian adults 18 years of age and older from Leger’s LEO panel. The data was statistically weighted according to 2021 Canadian Census figures.
A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey, but for comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1,502 would have a margin of error of +/- 2.53%, 19 times out of 20.
