Provincial Politics in Ontario – June 1, 2022

From May 27-30, 2022, Leger surveyed eligible Ontario voters about provincial politics in Ontario to understand their voting intentions, who they think will win the upcoming Ontario provincial election, the campaign features and events that influenced who they plan to vote for and more.

SOME OF THE KEY HIGHLIGHTS OF OUR SURVEY OF ELIGIBLE ONTARIO VOTERS INCLUDE…

• 30% say Doug Ford would make the best premier, 23% say Andrea Horwath and 11% say Steven Del Duca.
• The campaign features or events that most influenced how Ontarians voted/will vote in the Ontario provincial election are:
  • The party platforms, ideas (46%)
  • The handling of the pandemic (32%)
  • The government record (29%)
• 30% of decided voters indicate they may still change their minds about who to vote for before election day.
• If a provincial election were held today, 40% of decided voters would vote for the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario, 25% would vote for the Ontario Liberal Party and 24% would vote for the Ontario New Democratic Party.

SURVEY METHODOLOGY

A web survey was conducted among 1,500 Ontario residents, 18 years of age or older, who are eligible to vote in Ontario, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel.

The data was collected from May 27 to 30, 2022.

For comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1,500 respondents would have a margin of error of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20.

The results were weighted according to gender and age within Ontario regions, as well as by education and presence of children in the household in order to ensure a representative sample of the population.