A few months after the last federal election, Leger conducted a survey on behalf of Postmedia to assess federal voting intentions, satisfaction with the Carney government, and public sentiment on key national issues.
Some of the Key Highlights
Liberals Maintain Their Lead
If an election were held today, the Liberal Party of Canada would receive 43% of the vote among decided voters, maintaining its lead over the Conservative Party at 38%. The Bloc Québécois sits at 7%, followed by the NDP at 7%, and the Green Party at 4%.
Compare to our previous survey, there has been no major shift in voter intentions.
Carney’s Ratings on the Rise
While still early in his mandate, Carney is benefitting from relative stability in voting intentions.
In the last month, satisfaction and approval ratings have risen significantly.
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- The satisfaction rate stands at 50% (+4 points)
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The approval rate is at 52% (+5 points)
Next Federal Election, Sooner or Later?
When asked when the next federal election should be held, one in five Canadians (20%) would like the next federal election to be held now or as soon as possible, compared to 18% who would prefer it to take place next year. However, half of Canadians (50%) would like it to be held as scheduled, in about four years.
Notably, Conservative voters (47%) are far more likely to want an early election.
Disappointment on Campaign Promises
Despite a lift in approval, Canadians are disappointed with the progress on some of the commitments Mark Carney made during his campaign.
The cost of living crisis stands out as the area where expectations remain unmet, receiving the lowest score (4.5/10). Defence investment — restoring the strength and capacity of Canada’s military forces — received the highest (5.6/10).
Perception of National Unity Improves
Most Canadians perceive a shift toward more cohesion under the new leadership.
When asked about the impact of Carney’s leadership on national unity:
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47% say it has improved
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27% say it has stayed the same
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15% say it has worsened
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Conservative voters (34%) are more likely to think the unity has worsened.
Canadians’ Mood: somewhere between optimism and pessimism
When it comes to their personal, social, financial and professional situation, Canadians find themselves caught in the middle. 39% say they feel equally optimistic and pessimistic.
While 34% describe themselves as mostly optimistic and happy, this figure falls as the focus widens: to 29% for their city or community, 21% for their province, 26% for Canada and just 16% for the world. For the latter, pessimism (51%) clearly outweighs optimism.
Methodology
This online survey was conducted among 1,585 Canadian residents aged 18 or older, between October 31 and November 2, 2025. Respondents were randomly recruited through LEO’s online panel. Results were weighted by age, gender, region, language, education, and household composition. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey. For comparison, a probability sample of this size would have a margin of error of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20.
This survey is the property of Leger/Postmedia. All mentions of this survey must respect copyright laws by including the following mention: Leger/Postmedia.
