From January 17 to 19, 2025, we surveyed Ontarians on their provincial politics.
Highlights from our survey include…
- Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservative Party (46%) is currently leading by 24 points, ahead of Bonnie Crombie’s Ontario Liberal party (22%), Marit Stiles’ Ontario NDP (19%), and Mike Schreiner’s Green party (7%). Areas of ballot strength include the GTA, South and Eastern regions of the province.
- More than a quarter of Ontarians (28%) think the cost of living is the most important issue facing their community, far ahead of healthcare (12%), and the economy (11%).
- Opinions of Doug Ford are divided among Ontarians: around half have a favourable opinion (47%) and the other half (48%) have an unfavourable one. The Premier, not surprisingly, is the most recognized of the three main political leaders.
Methodology
This web survey was conducted from January 17 to January 19, 2025, with 1,007 Ontarians aged 18 or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey.
For comparison purposes, a probability sample of this size yields a margin of error no greater than ±3,08%, (19 times out of 20) for the Canadian sample.
