Decision 2020: Provincial Politics in British Columbia – October 13, 2020

October 13, 2020

From October 6-9, 2020, Leger conducted a survey among British Columbians to explore their provincial voting intentions.


  • If the provincial election were held today, the B.C. NDP would capture the highest proportion of the popular vote among decided voters (50%) followed by the B.C. Liberal Party (35%).
  • Almost half of respondents (47%) plan to watch the leaders’ debate on October 13.
  • Voters would be far more comfortable having a conversation with John Horgan than either of the other two leaders.


Combination of web survey using computer-assisted web interviewing (CAWI) technology and random digit dialing using computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) technology.

Conducted from October 6-9, 2020, among 1,100 residents of British Columbia, 18 years of age or older, who have the right to vote in British Columbia, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel or telephone interviewing.

Using data from the 2016 Census, the results were weighted according to region, age, and gender in order to ensure a representative sample of the population of British Columbia.

For comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1,100 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.0%, 19 times out of 20.


  • If the PROVINCIAL election were held today, which party’s candidate would you vote for? In the event a respondent did not know or preferred not to answer, the following prompting question was asked: Could you tell me which party you lean more toward as of today, even if it is just slightly?
  • What is the likelihood of you switching your vote to vote for another party?
  • Below are some of the themes that have emerged so far in this election. How important or unimportant will each be to you when deciding who to support on election day?
  • The televised leaders’ debate is scheduled to air on October 13 in the evening. Do you plan on watching this year’s leaders’ debate?
  • How closely are you following the provincial election campaign?


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