Politics: The Midterm Elections, Immigration, the Carbon Tax and More

November 15, 2022

THIS SURVEY EXPLORES CANADIANS’ AND AMERICANS’ PERSPECTIVES ON THE MIDTERM ELECTIONS AND OTHER CURRENT EVENTS IN CANADA AND THE UNITED STATES.

Our latest North American Tracker explores Canadians’ and Americans’ perspectives on politics and current events in their respective nations.

We asked Americans a series of questions about the November 8 midterm elections and their voting intentions, while among Canadians, we explored perspectives on immigration, the carbon tax, inflation and the notwithstanding clause.

Download the report for the full results.

This survey is conducted in collaboration with the Association for Canadian Studies (ACS) and published in the Canadian Press. This series of surveys is available on Leger’s website.

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AMERICAN POLITICS: THE MIDTERM ELECTIONS AND VOTING INTENTIONS

  • 41% of Americans are satisfied with the results of the November 8 midterm elections.
  • 57% of Americans believe the midterm elections were fair and democratic, 19% think there was fraud and corruption and 24% don’t know/refuse to answer.
    • 34% of Republican voters* say the elections were fair and democratic, 40% say there was fraud and corruption and 26% don’t know/refuse to answer.
    • 90% of Democratic voters** say the elections were fair and democratic, 2% say there was fraud and corruption, and 8% don’t know/refuse to answer.
  • American Republican voters* are split on who they would prefer to be the Republican candidate for 2024: 43% say Trump, 45% say DeSantis, 13% did not specify.  
  • 44% of Canadians followed the American midterm elections.
*Those who plan to vote Republican in the 2024 presidential election
**Those who plan to vote Democrat in the 2024 presidential election
Americans' Opinions on Midterm Elections Fairness Chart

CANADIAN POLITICS: IMMIGRATION AND THE CARBON TAX

  • 49% of Canadians think the Government of Canada’s immigration plan will admit too many immigrants to Canada.
  • 75% of Canadians are concerned the immigration plan will result in excessive demand for housing and health and social services.
  • 77% of Canadians agree the carbon tax on gasoline, diesel and home heating fuels should be frozen until high inflation passes.

METHODOLOGY

This web survey was conducted from November 11 to 13, 2022, with 1,537 Canadians and 1,007 Americans, 18 years of age or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel.

A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey. For comparison, a probability sample of 1,537 respondents would have a margin of error of ±2.50%, 19 times out of 20, while a probability sample of 1,007 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.09%, 19 times out of 20.

THIS REPORT CONTAINS THE RESULTS FOR THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS AND MORE!

  • How concerned or unconcerned are you that the government’s immigration plan will result in excessive demand for housing and health and social services in Canada?
  • In your opinion, is it a good idea or a bad idea for Parliament or a legislature to shield some of its laws from the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms?
  • To what extent do you agree with the following statement: the carbon tax on gasoline, diesel and home heating fuels should be frozen until the period of high inflation passes and prices begin to moderate.
  • Did you vote in the U.S. midterm elections on November 8?
  • Did you follow the American midterm elections of November 8?
  • Would you like Donald Trump to run for president in 2024?
  • Would you like Joe Biden to run for president in 2024?

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