As the 2024 BC provincial election draws near, Leger plans to repeatedly administer this survey on a weekly basis to provide up-to-date polling and insights related to the upcoming election. This survey was conducted from October 3 to 7, 2024.
Highlights of the study include…
- The BC NDP (47%) has regained the lead in voting intention among decided voters over The Conservative Party of BC (42%) for a 5 point lead.
- This reversal of fortunes is directly the result of the drop in the Conservative vote among 18-34 year-olds (47% to 38%) and women (42% to 34%)
- Just less than nine in ten (87%) BC residents indicate they are likely to vote, with nearly two-thirds (65%) indicating that they will “definitely vote.”
- Eight in ten (80%) decided voters report that they are not likely to switch their vote, while just above one in ten (14%) indicate they are likely to do so. However, Conservative voters are more entrenched in their choice than NDP voters at this point.
- Premier David Eby continues to have the highest individual favourability rating (46%) and best fit as premier (48%) rising a couple points while Rustad has stayed stagnant (38% for both).
- BC Residents whose top issue is healthcare are more likely to believe that Eby and the NDP have the best plan to deal with their priority issue (40%), while those whose top issue is economy are more likely to believe Rustad and the BC Conservatives have the best plan to address their priority issue (56%).
Methodology
This web survey was conducted from October 3 to 6, 2024, with 1,002 British Columbians aged 18 or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey. For comparison, a probability sample of 1,002 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.1 %, 19 times out of 20.
