Every month, we conduct a survey of Canadians to explore their views on the current government and politics in Canada. This month, our survey was conducted between September 27 and 29, 2024.
Some of the key highlights of our survey about Canadian federal politics include…
- Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party is currently leading by 17 points, ahead of Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party. If a federal election were held today, 42% of Canadians would vote for the Conservative Party of Canada, while 25% would vote for Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party.
- There is a high degree of dissatisfaction with Justin Trudeau’s government among Canadians. Two-thirds of Canadians (65%) are dissatisfied, while only 28% say they are currently satisfied. Those results are stable when compared to August 2024.
- Poilievre is still perceived as the best candidate for Prime Minister, now at 31% in September. Meanwhile, Trudeau’s perceived capability has improved, now standing at 18%, marking a 3-point increase from last month.
- In light of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and the recent events in Lebanon, half of Canadians (52%) think Canada does not owe protection or evacuation services to citizens who make the decision to stay in high-risk conflict zones after being warned to leave, while a third (34%) think Canada has a responsibility to help protect and evacuate its citizens.
- Half of Canadians (49%) are uncomfortable with the idea of Trudeau’s government having to accommodate and work with the Bloc Québécois to avoid an election, while 31% are comfortable and 20% are unsure. Quebecers (47%) are more likely to be comfortable than respondents living in other Canadian provinces (26%). Conservative voters (69%) are more likely to be uncomfortable with the idea.
- Two out of three Canadians (64%) believe that Quebec should be treated the same as other provinces, while 24% believe that Quebec should receive special accommodations to protect its unique culture and language. Quebecers (53%) are more likely to think the province of Quebec should receive special accommodations than respondents living in other Canadian provinces (15%). Conservative voters (78%) are more likely to think the province of Quebec should not receive special treatment, while Bloc voters (85%) are more likely to think the opposite.
- Nearly seven out of ten Canadians (67%) are not concerned with Quebec separating from Canada, while 26% are concerned. Liberal voters (37%) are more likely to be concerned, while Bloc voters (82%) are more likely not to be.
Methodology
This web survey was conducted from September 27 to September 29, 2024, with 1,626 Canadians aged 18 or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey.
For comparison purposes, a probability sample of this size yields a margin of error no greater than ±2.43%, (19 times out of 20) for the Canadian sample.
