Provincial Politics in Ontario – March 4, 2022

March 4, 2022

From February 25-27, 2022, Leger surveyed eligible Ontario voters about provincial politics in Ontario to understand their voting intentions, impressions of the provincial party leaders, perspectives on the post-pandemic reopening policy and opinions on the Freedom Convoy.


  • 59% agree with Premier Ford and the Ontario government’s decision to lift restrictions, end vaccine passports and remove any capacity limits for public venues.
  • 38% think the Ontario government is moving too fast when it comes to removing restrictions and reopening the economy, 37% think it is moving at the right pace, 18% think it is moving too slow, and 7% are unsure.
  • At the height of the Freedom Convoy protests in Ottawa and Windsor, 71% were concerned about public safety in those cities.
  • Over half are disappointed in the performance of Prime Minister Trudeau and the federal government (56%), Premier Ford and the provincial government (51%) and the Ottawa police force (51%) with respect to the Freedom Convoy protests.
  • If a provincial election were held today, 39% of decided voters would vote for the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario, 27% would vote for the Ontario New Democratic Party and 27% would vote for the Ontario Liberal Party.

Ontario Voting Intentions


A web survey was conducted among 1,001 Ontario residents, 18 years of age or older, who are eligible to vote in Ontario, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel.

The data was collected from February 25 to 27, 2022.

For comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1,001 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20.

The results were weighted according to gender and age within Ontario regions, as well as by education and presence of children in the household in order to ensure a representative sample of the population. 

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