Provincial Politics in Ontario – May 5, 2022

May 5, 2022

From April 29-May 2, 2022, Leger surveyed eligible Ontario voters about provincial politics in Ontario to understand their voting intentions, impressions of the provincial party leaders, engagement with the 2022 provincial election campaign, and more.

SOME OF THE KEY HIGHLIGHTS OF OUR SURVEY OF ELIGIBLE ONTARIO VOTERS INCLUDE…

  • 60% are following news and events about the provincial election closely.
  • 45% think Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario will win the next provincial election and form government.
  • The majority are dissatisfied with the performance of the Ontario government and over one-third felt the recently released budget will hurt things and put the province on the wrong track.
  • If a provincial election were held today, 36% of decided voters would vote for the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario, 29% would vote for the Ontario Liberal Party and 25% would vote for the Ontario New Democratic Party.

Voting Intentions, Ontario Provincial Election, May 5

SURVEY METHODOLOGY

A web survey was conducted among 1,000 Ontario residents, 18 years of age or older, who are eligible to vote in Ontario, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel.

The data was collected from April 29 to May 2, 2022.

For comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1,000 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20.

The results were weighted according to gender and age within Ontario regions, as well as by education and presence of children in the household in order to ensure a representative sample of the population. 

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