Every few months, Leger conducts a study on the performance of the Albertan government. This time, the study was conducted between October 10 and October 12, 2025.
Highlights include…
- Public Outlook Continues to Weaken: Albertans have become increasingly pessimistic about the direction of the province. Just 32% now believe Alberta is on the right track, a decline of five points since May, while 61% feel the province is headed in the wrong direction, up ten points over the same period. This represents the most negative reading of 2025 so far and suggests that optimism about Alberta’s trajectory has softened in recent months.
- Voting Intentions Tighten Between UCP and NDP: If a provincial election were held today, the United Conservative Party would capture 44% of the vote among decided voters, compared to 39% for the Alberta NDP. The Alberta Liberal Party follows with 9%, while the Green Party and Alberta Party receive 3% and 2%, respectively. Support for the UCP has gradually declined since the start of the year, while NDP support has edged upward, narrowing the gap between the two leading parties.à
- Leader Favourability Shifts: Views of Alberta’s political leaders have shifted this wave. Naheed Nenshi is now the most favourably viewed leader, with 43% of Albertans expressing a positive opinion of him. Danielle Smith’s favourability has declined to 38%, down six points since May. Nearly half of Albertans (47%) report that their opinion of the Premier has worsened over the past six months, reflecting a softening in personal approval.
- Majority Oppose a New Alberta Pension Plan: Public opinion remains firmly against the creation of a new Alberta Pension Plan. Six in ten Albertans (60%) say they oppose the idea, up six points since May, while just over one in five (21%) express support, down eight points. Opposition has increased across most demographic groups, suggesting growing skepticism toward the proposal.
- Top Issues Facing Albertans: Health care continues to be viewed as the most important issue facing Alberta, cited by one in six residents (17%) as their top concern. The economy (12%) and education (11%) follow closely behind, with both increasing in importance this wave. Housing affordability (8%) and inflation and rising interest rates (11%) also remain significant concerns for many Albertans. While affordability pressures persist, the renewed focus on core public services such as health care and education highlights shifting priorities within the province.
Methodology
This web survey was conducted from October 10 to October 12, 2025, with 1,045 Albertans aged 18 or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey. For comparison, a probability sample of 1,045 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.00%, 19 times out of 20.
